Today on Punching the Clock, we dive into the NFL draft and explore what teams may be thinking at each position. We also discuss the last dance and my takeaways from the first two episodes.
Today on Punching the Clock, we dive into the NFL draft and explore what teams may be thinking at each position. We also discuss the last dance and my takeaways from the first two episodes.
In today’s episode of Punching the Clock, I discuss the importance of athletes playing video games. I give you my best bets for the Madden simulation games, discuss landing sports for Cam Newton, and talk about the cultural impact of “The Last Dance” documentary on Michael Jordan.
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Punching the Clock. This is content to help reach the green light. Tis is content to help reach the green light. Ths is content to help reach the green light. Thi is content to help reach the green light. his is content to help reach the green light. Tis is content to help reach the green light. Ths is content to help reach the green light. Thi is content to help reach the green light. his is content to help reach the green light. Tis is content to help reach the green light. Ths is content to help reach the green light. Thi is content to help reach the green light. Punching the Clock
Welcome to Episode 1 of Punching the Clock. hosted by Steven Ryan. On this podcast, we will be discussing the current events in the sports world, culture, and the E-sports world.
Mid-major conference tournaments are in full effect as bigger schools are wrapping up their 2019-2020 regular season games today and tomorrow. Saturdays tend to trend towards the underdog as two weeks ago three of the top five teams lost outright. There are two A-10 games that peak interest and of course the greatest rivalry in college basketball.
Spread: Duke -10.5
Over/Under: 153
Time: 6 p.m ET
TV: ESPN
The greatest rivalry in college sports and arguably in the Mt. Rushmore of rivalries in all sports. Duke–North Carolina, while both teams are having completely different seasons this game is always appointment TV.
Duke opened as an 11.5 point favorite and there has been significant money coming in on the underdog. In their last meeting, the Tar Heels had all but secured a victory in Chapel Hill until Tre Jones turned into Houdini and sent the game into overtime and the Blue Devils snuck out a victory at the Dean Smith Center.
Look for North Carolina to give Duke all they can handle in this game as the Tar Heels are a much better team than their record indicates.
The Pick: UNC +10.5
Spread: Dayton -20.5
Over/Under: 138.5
Time: 7 p.m ET
TV: ESPN+
Yes, the Colonials of George Washington are getting backed in this game and its simple quite frankly. Dayton has already locked up the outright title of the A-10 conference. This line opened at -22 in favor of the Flyers and has seen some significant movement with the sharps backing George Washington.
It has since bet all the way down to -20.5. George Washington has the same exact record ATS as Dayton (15-14) so although the Colonials have a record under .500 the record against the spread is what really matters.
The Pick: George Washington
Spread: SLU -5
Over/Under135
Time: 8 p.m ET
St. Louis is on a four-game winning streak and continues to depend on their efficient guard play. Jordan Goodwin who is leading the Billikens with 15.5 ppg has been playing with a lot more assertiveness averaging 22 ppg in the winning streak. Both teams have an 11-6 conference record in the A-10 and are battling for the fourth seed in the upcoming conference tournament. SLU has been terrific at home with a 14-3 record. Look for them to end their regular season on a positive note with a win over St. Bonaventure.
The Pick: SLU -5
A theme across a variety of sports recently has been new rules or ideas to make the games and leagues more appealing to fans. MLB has begun timing various parts of the game, cutting down on mound visits and mandating a minimum number of batters a reliever must face in an effort to speed up the product.
Every offseason it seems like the NFL has a new definition of what a catch. The idea of adopting the “Elam Ending” became popular in various NBA circles following the 2020 All-Star game.
On the most recent edition of the Luke & James Show, we were in agreement that the NHL could benefit from allowing the public to view what happens when on-ice decisions are subject to video review. That’s not the only rule change I would make.
The NHL draft lottery gives the best odds to win the top pick to the team with the worst overall record. The era of rewarding teams for losing needs to end. I would continue to slot playoff teams in the draft by how they finish.
I propose ordering the non-playoff teams by comparing the percentage of games each earns points in games against the others. The team with the highest percentage gets the number one pick and continue in this fashion until the team with the lowest percentage is drafting one pick before the worst playoff team.
It’s important to note that the games that count toward this final percentage are only ones between non-playoff teams. I do not want to punish a team for being able to compete with the top teams in the NHL. Using the percentage of games a team gains a point is the best way to deal with the unbalanced schedule.
An eight-team division might have five playoff teams. If the rule was based strictly on the number of points, the three non-playoff teams would have fewer chances than other teams to move up in the draft order.
To give a better idea of how this would work, I compared the four teams in last place in their respective divisions. My math is based on if the season ended today. Under the current system, the Detroit Red Wings are a runaway favorite to have the best odds at the number one pick.
In my system however they are struggling, gaining points in just 12 of 34 games against other non-playoff teams means their percentage is 35.3. The Los Angeles Kings have played fewer games against non-playoff teams because of their division and conference, but have made the most of their chances. Their point percentage is 48.1% after picking up points in 13 of 27 chances.
The New Jersey Devils and Chicago Blackhawks give an example of how this type of race could be exciting. Points in 19 of 29 games gives the Devils a robust 65.5 percent. Like the Kings, the Blackhawks have done well despite fewer opportunities. Gaining points in 17 of 25 games against non-playoff teams checks them in at 68 percent.
Other non-playoff teams have to be calculated. But under my proposal, the Blackhawks would have the best pick of these teams, the Red Wings would have the worst.
There are multiple reasons this would benefit the NHL. First, consider the glut of games at the end of the season for non-playoff teams where it is, unfortunately, in their best interest to lose. That’s not fun for fans. Under my proposal, fans of non-playoff teams would be able to root for their teams to win late in the season. It would also make games between non-playoff teams more important and hopefully increase attendance at these games.
Second, hockey is a physical sport with a drawn-out season. This proposal gives players a reward to continue to play hard throughout the year. If they come up just short of making the playoffs a high draft pick could be useful in multiple ways to help them make the playoffs the next year.
Finally, while hockey owners are significantly less likely to cut payroll and tank in the hopes of high draft picks, this proposal removes any motivation to do so. Every team is competing for something and quality players are being paid to play.
Restructuring the draft order is beneficial to players and fans in the NHL. It can make owners more profitable. Being the first league to do this would make the NHL seem innovative.
Teams are cramming to pad their resume as selection Sunday is just over two weeks away. The Big Ten’s regular-season title is just about secured as Maryland holds a two-game lead over four teams tied for second place with three games to go.
We’ll be talking about two of those teams tied for second place and which angle to wager on in that huge Big Ten matchup. In the Big East, it’s a little bit of a tighter race. Seton Hall only holds a one-game lead over Villanova and Creighton. Five of the top six teams in the conference will be playing today as the focus stays on the early games.
Spread: Nova -7.5
Over/Under: 137.5
Time: 12:00 p.m ET
TV: FOX
Villanova has been finding their stride at just the right time as they are on a five-game winning streak. The Wildcats are looking to tie things up with Seton Hall atop the Big East Conference. Nova is averaging just over 71 ppg in home conference games and loves shooting the three-ball as they rank 31st in the nation in 3PA.
Providence is coming off of a big win against Marquette at home but the Wildcats are a different story when it comes to the Friars. They have won at Wells Fargo Center since 2016. The Friars are facing a red hot Wildcat team that is clicking on all cylinders.
The Pick: Nova -7.5
Spread: Iowa -4
Over/Under: 152
Time: 12:00 p.m ET
TV: Big Ten Network
Iowa has been unbeatable at home, Literally. They are 8-0 in conference home games and averaging a whopping 79.3 ppg in those games and currently one game back of a tie for second place. Hawkeyes have one of the best players in the country in Luka Garza. The Wooden Award candidate is nearly averaging a double-double and loves playing at home.
Penn State has a workhorse of their own in Lamar Stevens who has led the Nittany Lions to a 21-7 record and in a four-way tie for 2nd in the Big Ten. At this point in the season, Iowa is catching Penn State at the right time.
The Pick: Iowa -4.0
Spread: Marquette -2.0
Over/Under: 149.5
Time: 2:30 p.m ET
TV: Fox
Seton Hall is looking to sweep the season series against Marquette at Fiserv Forum. The Pirates are clinging on atop the Big East with a one-game lead over Villanova and Creighton. They have been a good team on the road as they only have one loss in road conference games and averaging 76.5 ppg in those games. This is going to be a great matchup between two of the best guards in the country in Myles Powell and Markus Howard.
Marquette has lost three of their last four games and is reeling. The one thing Marquette can do is score. The Golden Eagles are averaging 78.5 ppg in conference play. But, they are a lowly 1-6 when facing the top four teams in the conference. I think the Pirates will win this game outright so if you want to sprinkle in a little queso on the moneyline, feel free.
The Pick: Seton Hall +2
Monday, February 24 marked the NHL trade deadline. There were two distinctly different ways the trade deadline could have gone down. The first would have involved very little activity. Given the parity in the league and coaching changes from more than a quarter of the teams, it would’ve been understandable if general managers elected to keep their rosters intact.
Fortunately, many teams aggressively pushed for the playoffs and didn’t hesitate to make deals. The result of this aggression was a new record of 32 trades. We’ll be taking a closer look at teams that disappointed at the deadline and teams that should feel much better about their chances.
In this category, the Florida Panthers stand out. The Panthers are two points behind the Toronto Maple Leafs for a top-three finish in the Atlantic Division and four points behind the Columbus Blue Jackets for the second wild card. The Panthers made a few minor adjustments to the fringe of their team in swaps with Tampa Bay, Toronto, and Dallas.
The main deal for the team from south Florida was to send Vincent Trochek to one of their direct competitors, the Carolina Hurricanes, for a package of players including Eric Haula and Lucas Wallmark. The Panthers have not been to the playoffs since the 2015-2016 season.
Not making an aggressive move to increase their chances puts them in position to squander the goodwill they gained in the offseason by bringing in Joel Quenneville and Sergei Bobrovsky. Panthers loyalists may argue the moves allow some financial flexibility, but their team isn’t usually a destination spot for prime free agents.
The disappointment in the Chicago Blackhawks is two-fold, and one of the causes is similar to the Panthers situation. The Blackhawks are just eight points out of the second wild-card spot in the Western Conference. Their core is aging, but certainly still would seem to give them a shot at competing in the Western Conference because the talent gap between division leaders and wild card teams is not as wide as it is in the Eastern Conference.
To keep fans interested, and to be fair to their core players, I would have liked to have seen the Blackhawks add to their roster at the trade deadline. That being said, I understand the Blackhawks instead electing to take a step back and attempt to retool for future seasons. The sharpest complaint about the Blackhawks is that they traded Robin Lehner as opposed to Corey Crawford.
Crawford is 35 years old and very likely winding down the amount of time he can be counted on as a regular starting goalie. Lehner is 28 and his past season-plus has been the best goaltending of his career. One player the Blackhawks received in return from the Vegas Golden Knights was 26-year-old goalie Malcolm Subban.
Subban should see increased playing time with the Blackhawks. He played 22, 21 and 20 games in each of his three seasons with the Golden Knights. His stats have markedly declined in each of those seasons. It wouldn’t seem to be wise to assume that Subban is the goalie of the future in the Windy City.
Excluding a deep need or appreciation of nostalgia, it’s hard to criticize the job done by San Jose Sharks general manager Doug Wilson. The Sharks are in the middle of a monstrously disappointing season considering they made the Western Conference Finals following the 2018-2019 season. Subtracting from this roster should allow them to pile up losses and increase their odds for a premium draft pick.
Trades sending Patrick Marleau and Brenden Dillon to Pittsburgh and Washington respectively garnered the Sharks a second-round pick this year, as well as a pair of third-round, picks next year. It would be surprising to see those picks fall in the top half of those rounds, but adding to their quantity of picks gives the Sharks options for how to approach the draft or future trades. The trades also represented good faith efforts by Wilson to provide both Marleau and Dillon very strong opportunities for a chance to hoist the Stanley Cup.
The highlight of the trade deadline for the Sharks was sending Barclay Goodrow and a third-round pick, previously belonging to Philadelphia, to the Tampa Bay Lightning. The return was Anthony Greco, a 26-year-old forward, who likely will be organizational filler, but more importantly a first-round draft pick.
The 27-year-old Goodrow has played in more games as his career progressed than he did in his first four years in the league but has not been a particularly productive player. His 25 points this season are a career-high.
Even a late first-round pick feels like the Lightning massively overpaid. The only downside for the Sharks was their failure to find a place where Joe Thornton would have a chance to get a ring, but there was likely a very limited market for the veteran.
The Carolina Hurricanes made a pair of trades to replenish their defense as well. They acquired Sami Vatanen from the New Jersey Devils for a fourth-round pick and a pair of players that hadn’t seen much ice time for them. If Vatanen can return to the form he showed earlier in his career with the Anaheim Ducks he can be a useful player.
They also sent a first-round pick to the New York Rangers for Brady Skjei. While Skjei’s stats don’t jump off the page at you he has been durable and should be comfortable with the role the Hurricanes will be asking him to play in their defense corp. The Hurricanes surged to the Eastern Conference Finals last season and are trying to ride that wave back into the playoffs this year, these trades should help make that important goal possible.
Tight playoff races and battles for premium draft picks mean that even the best moves may not work exactly as these teams hoped, but these are four teams I’ll be watching closely as the season comes to a close to see how they respond.
College basketball has been anything but consistent in this 2019-2020 season. Early on, the teams ranked number one couldn’t hold their ranking for more than a week. Today, there are three top-25 matchups that should be basically wrapping up the regular-season conference title with a win and Vegas never makes it easy with their on the money lines. But, we don’t shy away from big-time games, we wager on them.
3 Kansas (23-3) at 1 Baylor (24-1)
Spread: Baylor -1.5
Over/Under: 127.5
Time: 12:00 p.m ET
TV: ESPN
Kansas is looking to exact revenge at The Ferrell Center in Waco as Baylor has been the only team to knock off Kansas on their home floor and it wasn’t even close. Baylor dominated Kansas 67-55 back on January 11. But this has been a completely different Kansas team since then; rattling off 11 straight wins. Kansas has been averaging 73.8 ppg in February and is 6-0 in road conference games.
Baylor has been the most consistent team in college basketball this year and they’ve been one of the most profitable teams this year. Baylor comes in as the fourth-most profitable ATS at 16-6 according to The Action Network. This is setting up to be a great game with the top-ranked team at home against the third-ranked team that is the powerhouse of the Kansas Jayhawks.
The spread has been fluctuating since it opened up at -1.5 favoring the Bears at home and immediately was bet up to -2.5. The line has since been back down to -1.5 so significant money has been coming in on both sides. I’m looking at a total that has been bet down to 127.5 from 129.5 when betting opened. I would look to bet the over with the recent February scoring surge from Kansas; even up against the stifling Baylor defense.
The Pick: Over 127.5
14 Oregon (20-7) at 24 Arizona (19-7)
Spread: Arizona -4.5
Over/Under: 140
Time: 9:00 p.m ET
TV: ESPN
The second of three top 25 college basketball matchups is in the PAC-12 as Oregon visits Arizona at McKale Center. Oregon has been awful on the road in conference games with just a 2-5 record. In fact, they haven’t won a road conference game since January 30th at Cal. I don’t trust the Ducks here at all.
Meanwhile, Arizona has been great at home in conference play with a 5-1 record and averaging just over 78 ppg in those six games. These two teams faced each other back on January 9 with Oregon needing overtime to squeak out a victory against the Wildcats at home. This time, Arizona returns the favor.
The Pick: Arizona -4.5
2 Gonzaga (27-1) at 23 BYU (22-7)
Spread: Gonzaga -4.5
Over/Under: 158.5
Time: 10:00 pm ET
TV: ESPN2
Gonzaga is one of those teams where handicappers always try to find a game on their schedule where they are most susceptible to losing. That’s because year in and year out they are the standard in college basketball. This is the spot where most people have them losing and I just don’t see it.
Last Thursday they had their classic trap game at home against San Francisco and it was living up to its title in the first half as the Don’s were up 31-22 in Spokane. Only for Gonzaga to outscore San Fran 49-23 in the second half and win by 17 which ended up being an all-time bad beat with Gonzaga being favored by 16.5 points and covering on a last-second three.
Gonzaga is almost never a small favorite, they typically are a double-digit favorite which is why I tend to stay away from their games. The last time the Zags were this small of a favorite was on February 8 (-5) at St. Mary’s and ended up winning by 30 points. Both teams can really light up the scoreboard so I’m leaning towards the over. But, what I’m most confident in this game is the Bulldogs covering on the road.
The Pick: Gonzaga -4.5
Did you hear the pops of those gloves The other day? I did. I’m happy to see that baseball is getting back into the swing of things and opening day is around the corner. It has been a quiet off-season on the Chicago Cubs front in terms of personnel moves. The team has had nothing short of drama. They had to watch Nicholas Castellanos sign within the division to the rival Reds. Kris Bryant’s grievance case finally came to a conclusion with the team being found not guilty of any wrongdoings.
With the same team intact pretty much from the previous season (minus Cole Hamels), Chicago is strapped for cash as they try to get under the luxury tax threshold, and reset to make another title run. This begs the question, with the recent rumors of “displeasure” between Nolan Arenado and the Rockies and the Cardinals seeming interested in acquiring said talent, should the Cubs trade for the disgruntled third baseman?
Arenado is a once in a generation defender at the hot corner. A seven-time Gold Glove winner (In seven seasons of service). He has won the platinum glove three times. Not only does he possess an otherworldly glove, he can swing the bat too. In his last five seasons, Arenado has averaged nearly 40 home runs and 115 plus RBI. This is a once in a lifetime chance to snag him for a possible king’s ransom.
Now, I know you’re asking if the Cubs have enough to acquire such a rare talent. The answer is yes. Some of you might not like the price, though. Here is a trade proposal that I think is fair for all parties involved:
Cubs Receive: Nolan Arenado
Rockies Receive: Kris Bryant/Kyle Schwarber/Victor Caratini/Pitching Prospect
For only two guaranteed years of service (from Arenado), this is a quality package for a team that is attempting to rebuild. Bryant replaces Arenado immediately at third base, and with that Colorado air, an improvement in his numbers will come as well. The Rockies get an above-average catcher. Colorado also gets a power-hitting lefty who will undoubtedly hit nearly 40 home runs most years. The pitching prospect is hearsay, but its potential. The Cubs will get Arenado and solidify the left side of the infield. Chicago can use Albert Almora in centerfield full time. Ian Happ can get the shot he deserves either at second base or in left field. These are just some ideas that I have.
There was a rumor earlier in the week that the Cubs and Rockies were looking into a deal where they do a straight swap of Bryant and Arenado. If that was the case, the Cubs should have accepted it immediately. I am not sure what will come of this drama out in Colorado, but I sure hope that the Cubs can make a move to pick him up. The Cubs are projected around 85 wins this year. That’s a one-game improvement from last year’s squad. The thought process behind this move would be to assist the franchise in acquiring big-time free agents in the seasons to follow this one.
The Cubs are going to reset on the luxury tax this season so they will not be hit with the penalty and be able to open cash up for the future. This, in turn, can help get the players to convince a player of his magnitude that Wrigley should be home for the rest of his prime. If nothing is done, the Cubs will enter the season with two years left of Bryant and Anthony Rizzo. This season is the core guys’ shot to show what they’re worth. This season will have its ups and downs, but don’t worry. The Cubs will be playing meaningful baseball in September again.
What are your thoughts on Arenado’s situation? Do you have any trade ideas? I would love to hear them. Follow me @illiniRyan7 on twitter and let’s discuss.